Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law amid Xi Jinping’s military anti-corruption campaign, with official statements citing breaches of the CMC chairman responsibility system and damage to PLA capabilities. He and Liu Zhenli were formally removed from CMC and related posts by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. Comparable high-level cases, including those of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, advanced through extended internal reviews before suspended death sentences were issued in May 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or sentencing has been announced for Zhang, consistent with the multi-year judicial timelines typical for Politburo-level figures in such proceedings. Traders assess these procedural realities as the main driver keeping the probability of a prison sentence before 2027 low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
11% 概率
$168,719 交易量
$168,719 交易量
2026-12-31
是
11% 概率
$168,719 交易量
$168,719 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law amid Xi Jinping’s military anti-corruption campaign, with official statements citing breaches of the CMC chairman responsibility system and damage to PLA capabilities. He and Liu Zhenli were formally removed from CMC and related posts by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. Comparable high-level cases, including those of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, advanced through extended internal reviews before suspended death sentences were issued in May 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or sentencing has been announced for Zhang, consistent with the multi-year judicial timelines typical for Politburo-level figures in such proceedings. Traders assess these procedural realities as the main driver keeping the probability of a prison sentence before 2027 low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$168,719结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law amid Xi Jinping’s military anti-corruption campaign, with official statements citing breaches of the CMC chairman responsibility system and damage to PLA capabilities. He and Liu Zhenli were formally removed from CMC and related posts by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. Comparable high-level cases, including those of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, advanced through extended internal reviews before suspended death sentences were issued in May 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or sentencing has been announced for Zhang, consistent with the multi-year judicial timelines typical for Politburo-level figures in such proceedings. Traders assess these procedural realities as the main driver keeping the probability of a prison sentence before 2027 low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$168,719结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETZhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law amid Xi Jinping’s military anti-corruption campaign, with official statements citing breaches of the CMC chairman responsibility system and damage to PLA capabilities. He and Liu Zhenli were formally removed from CMC and related posts by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. Comparable high-level cases, including those of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, advanced through extended internal reviews before suspended death sentences were issued in May 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or sentencing has been announced for Zhang, consistent with the multi-year judicial timelines typical for Politburo-level figures in such proceedings. Traders assess these procedural realities as the main driver keeping the probability of a prison sentence before 2027 low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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