The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in an October 4 first-round rematch, with a potential runoff three weeks later. Recent polling underscores the tightness: April Quaest surveys showed a technical tie near 37-41 percent, while May Paraná Pesquisas gave Neto a nine-point lead at 48-39 percent, reflecting Neto's stronger performance among independents and right-leaning voters amid shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency, roughly 56 percent approval ratings, and established PT infrastructure across the state, yet trader consensus at 52.5 percent for Neto versus 45.5 percent for Rodrigues tracks the competitive polling averages and uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics. Further separation could emerge from first-round vote consolidation, economic indicators, or high-profile endorsements before October.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$32,753 Vol.
$32,753 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$32,753 Vol.
$32,753 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$9,636 Vol.
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$9,811 Vol.
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in an October 4 first-round rematch, with a potential runoff three weeks later. Recent polling underscores the tightness: April Quaest surveys showed a technical tie near 37-41 percent, while May Paraná Pesquisas gave Neto a nine-point lead at 48-39 percent, reflecting Neto's stronger performance among independents and right-leaning voters amid shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency, roughly 56 percent approval ratings, and established PT infrastructure across the state, yet trader consensus at 52.5 percent for Neto versus 45.5 percent for Rodrigues tracks the competitive polling averages and uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics. Further separation could emerge from first-round vote consolidation, economic indicators, or high-profile endorsements before October.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$32,753শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in an October 4 first-round rematch, with a potential runoff three weeks later. Recent polling underscores the tightness: April Quaest surveys showed a technical tie near 37-41 percent, while May Paraná Pesquisas gave Neto a nine-point lead at 48-39 percent, reflecting Neto's stronger performance among independents and right-leaning voters amid shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency, roughly 56 percent approval ratings, and established PT infrastructure across the state, yet trader consensus at 52.5 percent for Neto versus 45.5 percent for Rodrigues tracks the competitive polling averages and uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics. Further separation could emerge from first-round vote consolidation, economic indicators, or high-profile endorsements before October.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$32,753শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest pits incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) against former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in an October 4 first-round rematch, with a potential runoff three weeks later. Recent polling underscores the tightness: April Quaest surveys showed a technical tie near 37-41 percent, while May Paraná Pesquisas gave Neto a nine-point lead at 48-39 percent, reflecting Neto's stronger performance among independents and right-leaning voters amid shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency, roughly 56 percent approval ratings, and established PT infrastructure across the state, yet trader consensus at 52.5 percent for Neto versus 45.5 percent for Rodrigues tracks the competitive polling averages and uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics. Further separation could emerge from first-round vote consolidation, economic indicators, or high-profile endorsements before October.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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