Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 16%
রেনান সান্তোস 8.8%
রোমেউ জেমা 4.5%
$3,526,217 Vol.
$3,526,217 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
16%
রেনান সান্তোস
9%
রোমেউ জেমা
4%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
3%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
3%
কামিলো সান্তানা
2%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 16%
রেনান সান্তোস 8.8%
রোমেউ জেমা 4.5%
$3,526,217 Vol.
$3,526,217 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
16%
রেনান সান্তোস
9%
রোমেউ জেমা
4%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
3%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
3%
কামিলো সান্তানা
2%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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