Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting swift consolidation of right-wing support after Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement of his son. Recent Quaest and Ideia polls place the Liberal Party senator in the low-to-mid 30s, comfortably ahead of fragmented center-right contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, who each poll in the low single digits. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva continues to lead first-round intention surveys, leaving limited room for other opposition figures to challenge Flávio for the runoff spot. A May 2026 leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market has priced in resilience in the Bolsonaro brand and evangelical base. Upcoming polling releases and any candidate withdrawals remain the main near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 15%
রেনান সান্তোস 5.8%
রোমেউ জেমা 5.7%
$3,520,288 Vol.
$3,520,288 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
15%
রেনান সান্তোস
6%
রোমেউ জেমা
6%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
3%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
3%
কামিলো সান্তানা
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
1%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 15%
রেনান সান্তোস 5.8%
রোমেউ জেমা 5.7%
$3,520,288 Vol.
$3,520,288 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
62%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
15%
রেনান সান্তোস
6%
রোমেউ জেমা
6%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
3%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
3%
কামিলো সান্তানা
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
1%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting swift consolidation of right-wing support after Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement of his son. Recent Quaest and Ideia polls place the Liberal Party senator in the low-to-mid 30s, comfortably ahead of fragmented center-right contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, who each poll in the low single digits. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva continues to lead first-round intention surveys, leaving limited room for other opposition figures to challenge Flávio for the runoff spot. A May 2026 leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market has priced in resilience in the Bolsonaro brand and evangelical base. Upcoming polling releases and any candidate withdrawals remain the main near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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