Trump's continued tenure through late September 2026 reflects the absence of active removal processes capable of succeeding in the narrow window. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have referred recent impeachment resolutions, including the August 2026 measure, to committee without floor action, while Senate thresholds for conviction remain unreachable. Invocation of the 25th Amendment lacks support from the vice president or Cabinet. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or legal disqualifications have emerged in recent weeks. Traders assign overwhelming probability to continuity because midterm elections occur after the resolution date and historical precedent shows rapid presidential removals as rare outside terminal incapacity or overwhelming bipartisan consensus. Unforeseen acute events, such as sudden medical incapacity or unforeseen legal rulings, represent the primary low-probability variables that could still shift the outcome before September 30.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড1% সম্ভাবনা
$209,219 Vol.
$209,219 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
1% সম্ভাবনা
$209,219 Vol.
$209,219 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued tenure through late September 2026 reflects the absence of active removal processes capable of succeeding in the narrow window. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have referred recent impeachment resolutions, including the August 2026 measure, to committee without floor action, while Senate thresholds for conviction remain unreachable. Invocation of the 25th Amendment lacks support from the vice president or Cabinet. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or legal disqualifications have emerged in recent weeks. Traders assign overwhelming probability to continuity because midterm elections occur after the resolution date and historical precedent shows rapid presidential removals as rare outside terminal incapacity or overwhelming bipartisan consensus. Unforeseen acute events, such as sudden medical incapacity or unforeseen legal rulings, represent the primary low-probability variables that could still shift the outcome before September 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$209,219শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued tenure through late September 2026 reflects the absence of active removal processes capable of succeeding in the narrow window. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have referred recent impeachment resolutions, including the August 2026 measure, to committee without floor action, while Senate thresholds for conviction remain unreachable. Invocation of the 25th Amendment lacks support from the vice president or Cabinet. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or legal disqualifications have emerged in recent weeks. Traders assign overwhelming probability to continuity because midterm elections occur after the resolution date and historical precedent shows rapid presidential removals as rare outside terminal incapacity or overwhelming bipartisan consensus. Unforeseen acute events, such as sudden medical incapacity or unforeseen legal rulings, represent the primary low-probability variables that could still shift the outcome before September 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$209,219শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued tenure through late September 2026 reflects the absence of active removal processes capable of succeeding in the narrow window. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have referred recent impeachment resolutions, including the August 2026 measure, to committee without floor action, while Senate thresholds for conviction remain unreachable. Invocation of the 25th Amendment lacks support from the vice president or Cabinet. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or legal disqualifications have emerged in recent weeks. Traders assign overwhelming probability to continuity because midterm elections occur after the resolution date and historical precedent shows rapid presidential removals as rare outside terminal incapacity or overwhelming bipartisan consensus. Unforeseen acute events, such as sudden medical incapacity or unforeseen legal rulings, represent the primary low-probability variables that could still shift the outcome before September 30.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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