Recent inflation moderation and the Federal Reserve's July decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% underpin the 67.5% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June-September meetings. The 9-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlighted internal divisions yet affirmed the majority's preference for additional data amid elevated CPI readings near 3.5% year-over-year and energy-driven volatility from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions and resilient growth have tempered cut expectations, leaving only an 0.8% chance for Pause–Pause–Cut. Traders now focus on the August CPI release and September FOMC meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPause–Pause–Pause 68%
Other 35%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$729,748 Vol.
$729,748 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
68%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
35%
Pause–Pause–Pause 68%
Other 35%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$729,748 Vol.
$729,748 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$289,705 Vol.
68%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$70,438 Vol.
1%
Other
$313,728 Vol.
35%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation moderation and the Federal Reserve's July decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% underpin the 67.5% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June-September meetings. The 9-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlighted internal divisions yet affirmed the majority's preference for additional data amid elevated CPI readings near 3.5% year-over-year and energy-driven volatility from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions and resilient growth have tempered cut expectations, leaving only an 0.8% chance for Pause–Pause–Cut. Traders now focus on the August CPI release and September FOMC meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$729,748শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation moderation and the Federal Reserve's July decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% underpin the 67.5% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June-September meetings. The 9-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlighted internal divisions yet affirmed the majority's preference for additional data amid elevated CPI readings near 3.5% year-over-year and energy-driven volatility from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions and resilient growth have tempered cut expectations, leaving only an 0.8% chance for Pause–Pause–Cut. Traders now focus on the August CPI release and September FOMC meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$729,748শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation moderation and the Federal Reserve's July decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% underpin the 67.5% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June-September meetings. The 9-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlighted internal divisions yet affirmed the majority's preference for additional data amid elevated CPI readings near 3.5% year-over-year and energy-driven volatility from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions and resilient growth have tempered cut expectations, leaving only an 0.8% chance for Pause–Pause–Cut. Traders now focus on the August CPI release and September FOMC meeting as key catalysts that could shift the rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা