Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,110 Vol.
$265,110 Vol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,110 Vol.
$265,110 Vol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,087 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$103,472 Vol.
100%
26°C
$54,613 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,331 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,532 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$265,110শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$265,110শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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