Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.9%
$55,865 Vol.
$55,865 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
51%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.9%
$55,865 Vol.
$55,865 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
51%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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