Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
29°C 36%
30°C 31%
28°C 9%
31°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
36%
30°C
31%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 36%
30°C 31%
28°C 9%
31°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
36%
30°C
31%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা