Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 Vol.
$59,520 Vol.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 Vol.
$59,520 Vol.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
$1,051 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,759 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,936 Vol.
No
11°C
$5,379 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,334 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,447 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,038 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$10,460 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,764 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,361 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$2,989 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
ভলিউম
$59,520শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$59,520শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা