Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$30,792 Vol.
$30,792 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
2%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
36%
≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$30,792 Vol.
$30,792 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$849 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$1,346 Vol.
1%
3.6%
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$1,075 Vol.
1%
3.8%
$1,511 Vol.
2%
3.9%
$992 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$1,188 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$2,226 Vol.
7%
4.2%
$6,220 Vol.
25%
4.3%
$8,594 Vol.
35%
≥4.4%
$4,567 Vol.
36%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$30,792শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$30,792শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা