Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,159 Vol.
$31,159 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
36%
≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,159 Vol.
$31,159 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$879 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$1,376 Vol.
<1%
3.6%
$1,151 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$1,105 Vol.
1%
3.8%
$1,541 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$1,218 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$2,259 Vol.
7%
4.2%
$6,250 Vol.
25%
4.3%
$8,627 Vol.
35%
≥4.4%
$4,597 Vol.
36%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$31,159শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$31,159শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা