Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an 88.5% implied probability in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District, far ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin at 11%. Redistricting created a district incorporating portions of Moskowitz’s prior seat, aligning with his moderate record and giving him advantages in fundraising and early voting. Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through targeted ads and progressive mobilization, yet Moskowitz’s resource edge and the district’s voter mix continue to anchor trader consensus on the incumbent’s nomination. The primary outcome will resolve within 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$84,177 Vol.
$84,177 Vol.

Jared Moskowitz
89%

Oliver Larkin
11%
$84,177 Vol.
$84,177 Vol.

Jared Moskowitz
89%

Oliver Larkin
11%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an 88.5% implied probability in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District, far ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin at 11%. Redistricting created a district incorporating portions of Moskowitz’s prior seat, aligning with his moderate record and giving him advantages in fundraising and early voting. Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through targeted ads and progressive mobilization, yet Moskowitz’s resource edge and the district’s voter mix continue to anchor trader consensus on the incumbent’s nomination. The primary outcome will resolve within 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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