Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by recent head-to-head polls showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican primary contenders by 3-6 points among likely voters. Echelon Insights' April survey had Bottoms at 49% against Rick Jackson (43%) and Burt Jones (43%), with a narrower edge over Brad Raffensperger (46%-44%). Bottoms commands the Democratic primary per Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Emerson polling averages, while the GOP contest remains fluid ahead of the May 19 primaries, pitting Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Jones against Jackson and Secretary of State Raffensperger. Incumbent Brian Kemp's term limit opens the battleground contest, where turnout in Atlanta suburbs and rural areas could tip the November 3 balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
60%
Republikaner
38%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$21,036 Vol.
60%
Republikaner
$15,801 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by recent head-to-head polls showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican primary contenders by 3-6 points among likely voters. Echelon Insights' April survey had Bottoms at 49% against Rick Jackson (43%) and Burt Jones (43%), with a narrower edge over Brad Raffensperger (46%-44%). Bottoms commands the Democratic primary per Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Emerson polling averages, while the GOP contest remains fluid ahead of the May 19 primaries, pitting Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Jones against Jackson and Secretary of State Raffensperger. Incumbent Brian Kemp's term limit opens the battleground contest, where turnout in Atlanta suburbs and rural areas could tip the November 3 balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$36,837Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by recent head-to-head polls showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican primary contenders by 3-6 points among likely voters. Echelon Insights' April survey had Bottoms at 49% against Rick Jackson (43%) and Burt Jones (43%), with a narrower edge over Brad Raffensperger (46%-44%). Bottoms commands the Democratic primary per Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Emerson polling averages, while the GOP contest remains fluid ahead of the May 19 primaries, pitting Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Jones against Jackson and Secretary of State Raffensperger. Incumbent Brian Kemp's term limit opens the battleground contest, where turnout in Atlanta suburbs and rural areas could tip the November 3 balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$36,837Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by recent head-to-head polls showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican primary contenders by 3-6 points among likely voters. Echelon Insights' April survey had Bottoms at 49% against Rick Jackson (43%) and Burt Jones (43%), with a narrower edge over Brad Raffensperger (46%-44%). Bottoms commands the Democratic primary per Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Emerson polling averages, while the GOP contest remains fluid ahead of the May 19 primaries, pitting Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Jones against Jackson and Secretary of State Raffensperger. Incumbent Brian Kemp's term limit opens the battleground contest, where turnout in Atlanta suburbs and rural areas could tip the November 3 balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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