Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. August?
26°C 39%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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