Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu, driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent for that outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover, enabling stronger daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model spread that keeps a narrow window open for slight revisions, but official monitoring at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and the final afternoon observation period will determine resolution. Traders are watching for any last adjustments in steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,712 Vol.
$66,712 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,712 Vol.
$66,712 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,268 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,042 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,971 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,251 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,424 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,437 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,340 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,891 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,979 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu, driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent for that outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover, enabling stronger daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model spread that keeps a narrow window open for slight revisions, but official monitoring at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and the final afternoon observation period will determine resolution. Traders are watching for any last adjustments in steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$66,712Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu, driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent for that outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover, enabling stronger daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model spread that keeps a narrow window open for slight revisions, but official monitoring at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and the final afternoon observation period will determine resolution. Traders are watching for any last adjustments in steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$66,712Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu, driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent for that outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover, enabling stronger daytime heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model spread that keeps a narrow window open for slight revisions, but official monitoring at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and the final afternoon observation period will determine resolution. Traders are watching for any last adjustments in steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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