National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 Vol.
$32,732 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 Vol.
$32,732 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
37°F or below
$8,654 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$2,071 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$2,902 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,326 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,673 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,677 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,759 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,226 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,009 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,099 Vol.
No
56°F or higher
$6,336 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$32,732Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,732Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen