National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature near 77°F on May 16, with ensemble models from NOAA showing consensus for highs in the mid-70s under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting southwesterly winds and advection of warm air masses well above the May 16 normal of 71°F. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) and ample sunshine support peak afternoon heating, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this robust guidance with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include an unusually potent Lake Michigan breeze enhancing coastal cooling by 10°F or more, or an unanticipated cold front arrival, though current model runs deem these low-probability outliers; watch for NWS updates later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NEU
$23,334 Vol.
NEU
$23,334 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NEU
$23,334 Vol.
NEU
$23,334 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
37°F or below
$8,154 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$1,896 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$726 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,177 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$3,645 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature near 77°F on May 16, with ensemble models from NOAA showing consensus for highs in the mid-70s under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting southwesterly winds and advection of warm air masses well above the May 16 normal of 71°F. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) and ample sunshine support peak afternoon heating, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this robust guidance with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include an unusually potent Lake Michigan breeze enhancing coastal cooling by 10°F or more, or an unanticipated cold front arrival, though current model runs deem these low-probability outliers; watch for NWS updates later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$23,334Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature near 77°F on May 16, with ensemble models from NOAA showing consensus for highs in the mid-70s under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting southwesterly winds and advection of warm air masses well above the May 16 normal of 71°F. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) and ample sunshine support peak afternoon heating, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this robust guidance with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include an unusually potent Lake Michigan breeze enhancing coastal cooling by 10°F or more, or an unanticipated cold front arrival, though current model runs deem these low-probability outliers; watch for NWS updates later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,334Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature near 77°F on May 16, with ensemble models from NOAA showing consensus for highs in the mid-70s under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting southwesterly winds and advection of warm air masses well above the May 16 normal of 71°F. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) and ample sunshine support peak afternoon heating, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 56°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this robust guidance with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include an unusually potent Lake Michigan breeze enhancing coastal cooling by 10°F or more, or an unanticipated cold front arrival, though current model runs deem these low-probability outliers; watch for NWS updates later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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