Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 17. Mai?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,285 Vol.
$46,285 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,285 Vol.
$46,285 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
18°C or below
$2,479 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,184 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,187 Vol.
100%
24°C
$5,440 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,639 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,948 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$46,285Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46,285Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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