Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models show closely matched probabilities for a daily maximum of 26°C or 27°C in Chongqing on May 19, reflecting modest uncertainty in the steering flow and boundary-layer moisture. Subtropical high-pressure ridges and southwesterly monsoon influences are expected to deliver above-average warmth for mid-May, yet variable cloud cover and localized precipitation could cap or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places typical May highs near 25–28°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering around these central outcomes while underscoring how small shifts in model bias or observational updates can alter implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 19. Mai?
26°C 21%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 21%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models show closely matched probabilities for a daily maximum of 26°C or 27°C in Chongqing on May 19, reflecting modest uncertainty in the steering flow and boundary-layer moisture. Subtropical high-pressure ridges and southwesterly monsoon influences are expected to deliver above-average warmth for mid-May, yet variable cloud cover and localized precipitation could cap or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places typical May highs near 25–28°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering around these central outcomes while underscoring how small shifts in model bias or observational updates can alter implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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