Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, project a daily maximum near 27°C for Guangzhou on May 16 amid widespread rain and persistent cloud cover tied to a weakening subtropical ridge. This setup tempers the typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical averages reach 29–30°C, by limiting solar heating and increasing moisture influx that caps peak readings. Trader consensus has therefore priced 28°C or higher at 76.5% implied probability, with the exact 27°C outcome holding 19.0% amid modest uncertainty over any late-day clearing that could nudge observations slightly higher. Official station data will resolve the market by day’s end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
$20,467 Vol.
$20,467 Vol.
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
83%
$20,467 Vol.
$20,467 Vol.
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, project a daily maximum near 27°C for Guangzhou on May 16 amid widespread rain and persistent cloud cover tied to a weakening subtropical ridge. This setup tempers the typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical averages reach 29–30°C, by limiting solar heating and increasing moisture influx that caps peak readings. Trader consensus has therefore priced 28°C or higher at 76.5% implied probability, with the exact 27°C outcome holding 19.0% amid modest uncertainty over any late-day clearing that could nudge observations slightly higher. Official station data will resolve the market by day’s end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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