Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Mai?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Vol.
$290,861 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Vol.
$290,861 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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