Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. Mai?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,898 Vol.
$262,898 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,898 Vol.
$262,898 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,077 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$103,041 Vol.
100%
26°C
$52,906 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,476 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$262,898Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$262,898Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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