Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on May 17 point to a southerly wind flow and building high pressure that should allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s, driving the 85.9% implied probability on the 86°F-or-higher outcome. Typical May climatology shows an 86°F average high at Bush Intercontinental Airport, with recent days already producing readings in the mid-to-upper 80s under similar clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions. Minor model spread remains over possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two off peak readings, yet the overall consensus keeps the leading bin firmly favored ahead of the day’s final observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 17. Mai?
86°F or higher 86.3%
84-85°F 15%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,654 Vol.
$17,654 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
15%
86°F or higher
86%
86°F or higher 86.3%
84-85°F 15%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,654 Vol.
$17,654 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
15%
86°F or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Houston on May 17 point to a southerly wind flow and building high pressure that should allow afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s, driving the 85.9% implied probability on the 86°F-or-higher outcome. Typical May climatology shows an 86°F average high at Bush Intercontinental Airport, with recent days already producing readings in the mid-to-upper 80s under similar clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions. Minor model spread remains over possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two off peak readings, yet the overall consensus keeps the leading bin firmly favored ahead of the day’s final observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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