Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a persistent low-pressure area and active trough, drives cloud cover and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30, with 60% precipitation chances suppressing peaks below recent dry-day readings of 34–35°C. Model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall creates tight probabilities around 31–33°C, as stronger convection or clearer breaks could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 33°C, but current moisture and wind patterns favor moderation consistent with trader positioning. Updated IMD and NWP model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 30. August?
32°C 35%
31°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
35%
33°C or higher
25%
32°C 35%
31°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
35%
33°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a persistent low-pressure area and active trough, drives cloud cover and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30, with 60% precipitation chances suppressing peaks below recent dry-day readings of 34–35°C. Model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall creates tight probabilities around 31–33°C, as stronger convection or clearer breaks could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 33°C, but current moisture and wind patterns favor moderation consistent with trader positioning. Updated IMD and NWP model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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