**Trader consensus centers on 33°C (73.5%) and 34°C (24.5%) as the most likely peak temperatures for Manila on June 11, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and typical early monsoon conditions.** PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a daytime high of 33°C (with lows near 26°C) and low rain chances (around 10–40%), consistent with climatological June averages of 32°C. The southwest monsoon has begun, introducing moisture that favors scattered afternoon showers and increased cloud cover—factors that cap surface heating and prevent stronger warming. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can occasionally add 1°C locally under clearer skies, supporting the secondary 34°C probability. However, model consensus and recent station trends show persistent humidity and convective activity keeping maxima tightly clustered near 33°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous clear-sky event has emerged in the latest data releases, anchoring implied probabilities firmly in this narrow range while leaving minimal room for outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 74%
34°C 25%
35°C 5%
36°C <1%
$20,759 Vol.
$20,759 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
74%
34°C
25%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
34°C 25%
35°C 5%
36°C <1%
$20,759 Vol.
$20,759 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
28°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,972 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,325 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,119 Vol.
74%
34°C
$2,061 Vol.
25%
35°C
$2,197 Vol.
5%
36°C
$3,019 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33°C (73.5%) and 34°C (24.5%) as the most likely peak temperatures for Manila on June 11, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and typical early monsoon conditions.**
PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a daytime high of 33°C (with lows near 26°C) and low rain chances (around 10–40%), consistent with climatological June averages of 32°C. The southwest monsoon has begun, introducing moisture that favors scattered afternoon showers and increased cloud cover—factors that cap surface heating and prevent stronger warming.
Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can occasionally add 1°C locally under clearer skies, supporting the secondary 34°C probability. However, model consensus and recent station trends show persistent humidity and convective activity keeping maxima tightly clustered near 33°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous clear-sky event has emerged in the latest data releases, anchoring implied probabilities firmly in this narrow range while leaving minimal room for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$20,759Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33°C (73.5%) and 34°C (24.5%) as the most likely peak temperatures for Manila on June 11, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and typical early monsoon conditions.**
PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a daytime high of 33°C (with lows near 26°C) and low rain chances (around 10–40%), consistent with climatological June averages of 32°C. The southwest monsoon has begun, introducing moisture that favors scattered afternoon showers and increased cloud cover—factors that cap surface heating and prevent stronger warming.
Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can occasionally add 1°C locally under clearer skies, supporting the secondary 34°C probability. However, model consensus and recent station trends show persistent humidity and convective activity keeping maxima tightly clustered near 33°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous clear-sky event has emerged in the latest data releases, anchoring implied probabilities firmly in this narrow range while leaving minimal room for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,759Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 33°C (73.5%) and 34°C (24.5%) as the most likely peak temperatures for Manila on June 11, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and typical early monsoon conditions.** PAGASA’s extended outlook projects a daytime high of 33°C (with lows near 26°C) and low rain chances (around 10–40%), consistent with climatological June averages of 32°C. The southwest monsoon has begun, introducing moisture that favors scattered afternoon showers and increased cloud cover—factors that cap surface heating and prevent stronger warming. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can occasionally add 1°C locally under clearer skies, supporting the secondary 34°C probability. However, model consensus and recent station trends show persistent humidity and convective activity keeping maxima tightly clustered near 33°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous clear-sky event has emerged in the latest data releases, anchoring implied probabilities firmly in this narrow range while leaving minimal room for outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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