Short-range numerical weather forecasts from models such as those run by PAGASA and global ensembles currently anchor trader sentiment for Manila’s June 13 maximum temperature, with 33 °C and 34 °C as the closest outcomes. June climatology places typical daytime highs near 32–34 °C at the start of the southwest monsoon, but day-to-day variability arises from cloud-cover timing, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2 °C locally, while steering winds and any passing tropical disturbances may suppress or enhance peak readings. Model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep probabilities tightly bunched, and updated runs plus observational verification over the next 48 hours are expected to sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 13. Juni?
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C oder niedriger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C oder niedriger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather forecasts from models such as those run by PAGASA and global ensembles currently anchor trader sentiment for Manila’s June 13 maximum temperature, with 33 °C and 34 °C as the closest outcomes. June climatology places typical daytime highs near 32–34 °C at the start of the southwest monsoon, but day-to-day variability arises from cloud-cover timing, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2 °C locally, while steering winds and any passing tropical disturbances may suppress or enhance peak readings. Model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep probabilities tightly bunched, and updated runs plus observational verification over the next 48 hours are expected to sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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