National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 17. Mai?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 36%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6.7%
$28,282 Vol.
$28,282 Vol.
75°F oder weniger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F oder höher
1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 36%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6.7%
$28,282 Vol.
$28,282 Vol.
75°F oder weniger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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