Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (50%) at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE and ECMWF model runs projecting persistent overcast skies, widespread showers (55-70% probability), and cool northwesterly winds capping diurnal heating. These conditions, part of an unusually chilly Atlantic air mass well below May's 19°C seasonal average, have shifted odds over the past 24 hours toward the 11-13°C cluster (11°C at 21%, 13°C at 23%), reflecting minimal insolation potential despite possible brief cloud breaks. Proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to overnight forecast updates from NOAA GFS and European models, with official Wunderground observations determining the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. Mai?
12°C 57%
13°C 24%
11°C 18.1%
14°C 4.0%
$35,818 Vol.
$35,818 Vol.
7°C oder weniger
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
57%
13°C
24%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 57%
13°C 24%
11°C 18.1%
14°C 4.0%
$35,818 Vol.
$35,818 Vol.
7°C oder weniger
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
57%
13°C
24%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (50%) at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE and ECMWF model runs projecting persistent overcast skies, widespread showers (55-70% probability), and cool northwesterly winds capping diurnal heating. These conditions, part of an unusually chilly Atlantic air mass well below May's 19°C seasonal average, have shifted odds over the past 24 hours toward the 11-13°C cluster (11°C at 21%, 13°C at 23%), reflecting minimal insolation potential despite possible brief cloud breaks. Proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to overnight forecast updates from NOAA GFS and European models, with official Wunderground observations determining the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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