Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (36.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 25°C under overcast skies and strengthening sea breezes from the Mediterranean. Recent warmth—peaking near 34°C inland on May 12 and forecasts of 30-32°C today amid a high-pressure ridge—has given way to cooler coastal moderation, with low-level clouds and westerly winds potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and sea breeze onset timing; historical May highs average 26-27°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. New IMS updates later today could refine this narrow spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. Mai?
25°C 39%
26°C 37%
24°C 20%
27°C 7%
NEU
$12,971 Vol.
NEU
$12,971 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C
39%
26°C
37%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
2%
25°C 39%
26°C 37%
24°C 20%
27°C 7%
NEU
$12,971 Vol.
NEU
$12,971 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
19°C oder darunter
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,204 Vol.
1%
23°C
$722 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,045 Vol.
20%
25°C
$846 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,002 Vol.
37%
27°C
$558 Vol.
7%
28°C
$2,017 Vol.
2%
29°C oder höher
$1,247 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (36.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 25°C under overcast skies and strengthening sea breezes from the Mediterranean. Recent warmth—peaking near 34°C inland on May 12 and forecasts of 30-32°C today amid a high-pressure ridge—has given way to cooler coastal moderation, with low-level clouds and westerly winds potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and sea breeze onset timing; historical May highs average 26-27°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. New IMS updates later today could refine this narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$12,971Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (36.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 25°C under overcast skies and strengthening sea breezes from the Mediterranean. Recent warmth—peaking near 34°C inland on May 12 and forecasts of 30-32°C today amid a high-pressure ridge—has given way to cooler coastal moderation, with low-level clouds and westerly winds potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and sea breeze onset timing; historical May highs average 26-27°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. New IMS updates later today could refine this narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,971Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (36.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 25°C under overcast skies and strengthening sea breezes from the Mediterranean. Recent warmth—peaking near 34°C inland on May 12 and forecasts of 30-32°C today amid a high-pressure ridge—has given way to cooler coastal moderation, with low-level clouds and westerly winds potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and sea breeze onset timing; historical May highs average 26-27°C, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. New IMS updates later today could refine this narrow spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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