Stable high-pressure conditions over Wellington are anchoring trader consensus around a daily maximum of 14–15 °C for May 18, with MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs showing light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and little spread in projected highs. This synoptic setup limits both significant warming and the risk of a cooler southerly change, producing the observed market-implied probabilities of roughly 52 percent for 14 °C and 34 percent for 15 °C. Historical May climatology for the region supports afternoon peaks in this narrow band, and with resolution less than 24 hours away, any final model update could still shift the exact threshold while leaving the overall 13–15 °C envelope largely intact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 18. Mai?
14°C 53%
15°C 34%
13°C 9.3%
16°C 2.5%
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
8°C oder darunter
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
53%
15°C
34%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 34%
13°C 9.3%
16°C 2.5%
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
8°C oder darunter
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,753 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,332 Vol.
9%
14°C
$2,995 Vol.
53%
15°C
$2,190 Vol.
34%
16°C
$4,103 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
18°C oder höher
$935 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure conditions over Wellington are anchoring trader consensus around a daily maximum of 14–15 °C for May 18, with MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs showing light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and little spread in projected highs. This synoptic setup limits both significant warming and the risk of a cooler southerly change, producing the observed market-implied probabilities of roughly 52 percent for 14 °C and 34 percent for 15 °C. Historical May climatology for the region supports afternoon peaks in this narrow band, and with resolution less than 24 hours away, any final model update could still shift the exact threshold while leaving the overall 13–15 °C envelope largely intact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$23,850Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure conditions over Wellington are anchoring trader consensus around a daily maximum of 14–15 °C for May 18, with MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs showing light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and little spread in projected highs. This synoptic setup limits both significant warming and the risk of a cooler southerly change, producing the observed market-implied probabilities of roughly 52 percent for 14 °C and 34 percent for 15 °C. Historical May climatology for the region supports afternoon peaks in this narrow band, and with resolution less than 24 hours away, any final model update could still shift the exact threshold while leaving the overall 13–15 °C envelope largely intact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,850Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNStable high-pressure conditions over Wellington are anchoring trader consensus around a daily maximum of 14–15 °C for May 18, with MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs showing light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and little spread in projected highs. This synoptic setup limits both significant warming and the risk of a cooler southerly change, producing the observed market-implied probabilities of roughly 52 percent for 14 °C and 34 percent for 15 °C. Historical May climatology for the region supports afternoon peaks in this narrow band, and with resolution less than 24 hours away, any final model update could still shift the exact threshold while leaving the overall 13–15 °C envelope largely intact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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