The closely contested trader consensus around the 3.25–4.75% range for Ra’am’s vote share reflects ongoing uncertainty in Arab-sector preferences ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am, running separately after declining to join the reduced Hadash-Ta’al-Balad Joint List, has positioned itself as a potential coalition partner through leader Mansour Abbas’s outreach and the addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot on its candidate list. Recent polls show Ra’am hovering near four or five seats while the Joint List targets six to eight, with small shifts in Arab turnout, competition for the same voter base, or last-minute bloc dynamics capable of altering the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,25–4 % 42%
4-4,75% 42%
4,75-5,5 % 38%
<3,25 % 34%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<3,25 %
34%
3,25–4 %
42%
4-4,75%
42%
4,75-5,5 %
38%
5,5 %+
34%
3,25–4 % 42%
4-4,75% 42%
4,75-5,5 % 38%
<3,25 % 34%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<3,25 %
$0 Vol.
34%
3,25–4 %
$0 Vol.
42%
4-4,75%
$0 Vol.
42%
4,75-5,5 %
$0 Vol.
38%
5,5 %+
$34 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The closely contested trader consensus around the 3.25–4.75% range for Ra’am’s vote share reflects ongoing uncertainty in Arab-sector preferences ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am, running separately after declining to join the reduced Hadash-Ta’al-Balad Joint List, has positioned itself as a potential coalition partner through leader Mansour Abbas’s outreach and the addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot on its candidate list. Recent polls show Ra’am hovering near four or five seats while the Joint List targets six to eight, with small shifts in Arab turnout, competition for the same voter base, or last-minute bloc dynamics capable of altering the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Volumen
$34Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The closely contested trader consensus around the 3.25–4.75% range for Ra’am’s vote share reflects ongoing uncertainty in Arab-sector preferences ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am, running separately after declining to join the reduced Hadash-Ta’al-Balad Joint List, has positioned itself as a potential coalition partner through leader Mansour Abbas’s outreach and the addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot on its candidate list. Recent polls show Ra’am hovering near four or five seats while the Joint List targets six to eight, with small shifts in Arab turnout, competition for the same voter base, or last-minute bloc dynamics capable of altering the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$34Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested trader consensus around the 3.25–4.75% range for Ra’am’s vote share reflects ongoing uncertainty in Arab-sector preferences ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am, running separately after declining to join the reduced Hadash-Ta’al-Balad Joint List, has positioned itself as a potential coalition partner through leader Mansour Abbas’s outreach and the addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot on its candidate list. Recent polls show Ra’am hovering near four or five seats while the Joint List targets six to eight, with small shifts in Arab turnout, competition for the same voter base, or last-minute bloc dynamics capable of altering the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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