Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 7-10 Knesset seats across multiple surveys released after party lists closed, placing its expected vote share near 6%. Avigdor Lieberman's party has emphasized draft equality and opposition to Haredi exemptions in its newly unveiled slate, while signing a surplus-vote agreement with the Together list. The broader race remains fragmented, with Likud, Yashar, and other parties trading narrow leads and several smaller lists hovering near the 3.25% threshold. These factors sustain tight trader pricing between the sub-5% and 7-8% bands, as modest shifts in turnout or bloc alignments could alter final seat totals before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert6-7 % 35%
5-6 % 21%
7-8 % 20%
<5 % 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<5 %
25%
5-6 %
21%
6-7 %
35%
7-8 %
20%
8 %+
12%
6-7 % 35%
5-6 % 21%
7-8 % 20%
<5 % 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<5 %
$784 Vol.
25%
5-6 %
$119 Vol.
21%
6-7 %
$201 Vol.
35%
7-8 %
$132 Vol.
20%
8 %+
$47 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 7-10 Knesset seats across multiple surveys released after party lists closed, placing its expected vote share near 6%. Avigdor Lieberman's party has emphasized draft equality and opposition to Haredi exemptions in its newly unveiled slate, while signing a surplus-vote agreement with the Together list. The broader race remains fragmented, with Likud, Yashar, and other parties trading narrow leads and several smaller lists hovering near the 3.25% threshold. These factors sustain tight trader pricing between the sub-5% and 7-8% bands, as modest shifts in turnout or bloc alignments could alter final seat totals before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volumen
$1,283Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 7-10 Knesset seats across multiple surveys released after party lists closed, placing its expected vote share near 6%. Avigdor Lieberman's party has emphasized draft equality and opposition to Haredi exemptions in its newly unveiled slate, while signing a surplus-vote agreement with the Together list. The broader race remains fragmented, with Likud, Yashar, and other parties trading narrow leads and several smaller lists hovering near the 3.25% threshold. These factors sustain tight trader pricing between the sub-5% and 7-8% bands, as modest shifts in turnout or bloc alignments could alter final seat totals before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,283Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 7-10 Knesset seats across multiple surveys released after party lists closed, placing its expected vote share near 6%. Avigdor Lieberman's party has emphasized draft equality and opposition to Haredi exemptions in its newly unveiled slate, while signing a surplus-vote agreement with the Together list. The broader race remains fragmented, with Likud, Yashar, and other parties trading narrow leads and several smaller lists hovering near the 3.25% threshold. These factors sustain tight trader pricing between the sub-5% and 7-8% bands, as modest shifts in turnout or bloc alignments could alter final seat totals before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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