Traders assign a 93% implied probability to fewer than five posts from tracked Khamenei accounts during September 18-25, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity in recent months. Official channels such as @khamenei_ir and affiliated profiles continue to issue occasional statements or archival material, yet weekly totals have frequently remained minimal amid the post-2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's role as supreme leader and associated diplomatic or military signaling have not produced sustained daily output on these platforms. A major escalation, formal address, or policy announcement within the resolution window could increase volume and shift probabilities toward the low-single-digit brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 18. September - 25. September 2026?
Khamenei # posts 18. September - 25. September 2026?
<5 93%
5-9 3.8%
10-14 2.0%
15-19 2.0%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
<5
93%
5-9
4%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 93%
5-9 3.8%
10-14 2.0%
15-19 2.0%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
<5
$675 Vol.
93%
5-9
$5 Vol.
4%
10-14
$55 Vol.
2%
15-19
$55 Vol.
2%
20-24
$55 Vol.
2%
25-29
$55 Vol.
2%
30-34
$55 Vol.
2%
35-39
$55 Vol.
2%
40-44
$88 Vol.
1%
45-49
$5 Vol.
1%
50-54
$12 Vol.
1%
55-59
$12 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign a 93% implied probability to fewer than five posts from tracked Khamenei accounts during September 18-25, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity in recent months. Official channels such as @khamenei_ir and affiliated profiles continue to issue occasional statements or archival material, yet weekly totals have frequently remained minimal amid the post-2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's role as supreme leader and associated diplomatic or military signaling have not produced sustained daily output on these platforms. A major escalation, formal address, or policy announcement within the resolution window could increase volume and shift probabilities toward the low-single-digit brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$1,132Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign a 93% implied probability to fewer than five posts from tracked Khamenei accounts during September 18-25, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity in recent months. Official channels such as @khamenei_ir and affiliated profiles continue to issue occasional statements or archival material, yet weekly totals have frequently remained minimal amid the post-2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's role as supreme leader and associated diplomatic or military signaling have not produced sustained daily output on these platforms. A major escalation, formal address, or policy announcement within the resolution window could increase volume and shift probabilities toward the low-single-digit brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,132Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 93% implied probability to fewer than five posts from tracked Khamenei accounts during September 18-25, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity in recent months. Official channels such as @khamenei_ir and affiliated profiles continue to issue occasional statements or archival material, yet weekly totals have frequently remained minimal amid the post-2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's role as supreme leader and associated diplomatic or military signaling have not produced sustained daily output on these platforms. A major escalation, formal address, or policy announcement within the resolution window could increase volume and shift probabilities toward the low-single-digit brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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