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Politik·Likud

Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party

icon for Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party
Politik·Likud

Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party

Amir Ohana 78%

Tally Gotliv 8.3%

Yariv Levin 6.9%

Eli Cohen 5.3%

Polymarket

$56,274 Vol.

Amir Ohana 78%

Tally Gotliv 8.3%

Yariv Levin 6.9%

Eli Cohen 5.3%

Polymarket

$56,274 Vol.

icon for Amir Ohana

Amir Ohana

$18,920 Vol.

78%

icon for Tally Gotliv

Tally Gotliv

$9,701 Vol.

8%

icon for Yariv Levin

Yariv Levin

$3,778 Vol.

7%

icon for Eli Cohen

Eli Cohen

$1,401 Vol.

5%

icon for Keine Vorwahl bis zur Knesset-Wahl

Keine Vorwahl bis zur Knesset-Wahl

$9,670 Vol.

4%

icon for Moshe Saada

Moshe Saada

$842 Vol.

2%

icon for Boaz Bismuth

Boaz Bismuth

$1,247 Vol.

2%

icon for Shlomo Karhi

Shlomo Karhi

$976 Vol.

1%

icon for Almog Cohen

Almog Cohen

$869 Vol.

1%

icon for Yoav Kisch

Yoav Kisch

$801 Vol.

1%

icon for Israel Katz

Israel Katz

$2,205 Vol.

1%

icon for David Amsalem

David Amsalem

$792 Vol.

1%

icon for Miki Zohar

Miki Zohar

$644 Vol.

1%

icon for Amichai Chikli

Amichai Chikli

$870 Vol.

1%

icon for Miri Regev

Miri Regev

$621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nir Barkat

Nir Barkat

$2,140 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Bitan

David Bitan

$800 Vol.

<1%

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the strongest position in the Likud primary market due to consistent high support among registered party members in recent internal surveys, reflecting his role as Knesset Speaker and alignment with core party structures. Netanyahu’s secured reserved slots and influence over roughly one-third of the top Knesset list positions have narrowed competitive space ahead of the August 17 vote. Traders price in these factors as key drivers, while lower odds for figures like Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Nir Barkat reflect narrower bases among loyal members versus broader voters. A court ruling preserving the primary process and ongoing coalition dynamics further shape the tight timeline and outcome probabilities.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volumen
$56,274
Enddatum
26. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the strongest position in the Likud primary market due to consistent high support among registered party members in recent internal surveys, reflecting his role as Knesset Speaker and alignment with core party structures. Netanyahu’s secured reserved slots and influence over roughly one-third of the top Knesset list positions have narrowed competitive space ahead of the August 17 vote. Traders price in these factors as key drivers, while lower odds for figures like Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Nir Barkat reflect narrower bases among loyal members versus broader voters. A court ruling preserving the primary process and ongoing coalition dynamics further shape the tight timeline and outcome probabilities.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volumen
$56,274
Enddatum
26. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

Verwandte

icon for Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

33%
icon for Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

52%
icon for Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

86%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Amir Ohana" mit 79%, gefolgt von „Tally Gotliv" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 79¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $56.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party" ist „Amir Ohana" mit 79%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Tally Gotliv" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Hauptgewinner der Likud-Party" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.