Current forecast models from GFS and similar sources indicate a mild synoptic pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into September 12. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14°C in Amsterdam, consistent with early September climatology where overnight lows average around 13°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on these moderate conditions, balanced against typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and any late adjustments from moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from KNMI observations, with limited historical precedent for extremes below 9°C or above 16°C this early in the season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 12. September?
7°C oder niedriger 95%
17°C oder höher 83%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C oder niedriger
95%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C oder höher
83%
7°C oder niedriger 95%
17°C oder höher 83%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C oder niedriger
95%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C oder höher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from GFS and similar sources indicate a mild synoptic pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into September 12. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14°C in Amsterdam, consistent with early September climatology where overnight lows average around 13°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on these moderate conditions, balanced against typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and any late adjustments from moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from KNMI observations, with limited historical precedent for extremes below 9°C or above 16°C this early in the season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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