Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C on 17 September. Official guidance from models such as those referenced by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and international ensembles shows the nocturnal low unlikely to fall below the recent seasonal average of 10.9 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 39 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher, alongside elevated odds for 12–14 °C outcomes, aligns with this mild, moist air mass and the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 16th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 17. September?
18°C oder höher 79%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
12°C 26%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
14%
18°C oder höher
79%
18°C oder höher 79%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
12°C 26%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C on 17 September. Official guidance from models such as those referenced by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and international ensembles shows the nocturnal low unlikely to fall below the recent seasonal average of 10.9 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 39 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher, alongside elevated odds for 12–14 °C outcomes, aligns with this mild, moist air mass and the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 16th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C on 17 September. Official guidance from models such as those referenced by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and international ensembles shows the nocturnal low unlikely to fall below the recent seasonal average of 10.9 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 39 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher, alongside elevated odds for 12–14 °C outcomes, aligns with this mild, moist air mass and the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 16th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C on 17 September. Official guidance from models such as those referenced by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and international ensembles shows the nocturnal low unlikely to fall below the recent seasonal average of 10.9 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 39 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher, alongside elevated odds for 12–14 °C outcomes, aligns with this mild, moist air mass and the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 16th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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