**Forecasts for Ankara's daily minimum temperature on August 22, 2026, cluster tightly around 14–17°C, aligning with the market's near-even odds on 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C.** Multiple sources, including the UK Met Office (14°C nighttime low), BBC and Yr.no guidance (15–17°C), and other models (~16°C), show this narrow range under expected clear skies and light winds. Ankara's high-plateau continental climate produces strong radiative cooling overnight when skies remain clear, as currently projected. Subtle differences in model outputs stem from small variations in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of the minimum, which commonly occur in short-range forecasts for inland locations. Historical August averages (around 16–18°C lows) provide a baseline, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh these ensemble spreads and the inherent limits of pinpointing an exact minimum, resulting in balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes rather than strong consensus on any single value. Updated model runs and official observations through the night of August 21–22 will be the key near-term drivers.