Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall near 13–15°C, driven by moderate radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and dew points around 10–12°C at the city's 870 m elevation. These conditions limit extreme cooling compared to clear, calm nights while preventing warmer advection. Market clustering around 12–14°C reflects model consensus on this range, with the elevated 19°C-or-higher probability capturing residual uncertainty from potential thicker overnight clouds or forecast revisions. Historical late-August baselines for Ankara support similar minima, and final resolution will hinge on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 29. August?
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 47%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
24%
16°C
47%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
54%
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 47%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$10 Vol.
47%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall near 13–15°C, driven by moderate radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and dew points around 10–12°C at the city's 870 m elevation. These conditions limit extreme cooling compared to clear, calm nights while preventing warmer advection. Market clustering around 12–14°C reflects model consensus on this range, with the elevated 19°C-or-higher probability capturing residual uncertainty from potential thicker overnight clouds or forecast revisions. Historical late-August baselines for Ankara support similar minima, and final resolution will hinge on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$30Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall near 13–15°C, driven by moderate radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and dew points around 10–12°C at the city's 870 m elevation. These conditions limit extreme cooling compared to clear, calm nights while preventing warmer advection. Market clustering around 12–14°C reflects model consensus on this range, with the elevated 19°C-or-higher probability capturing residual uncertainty from potential thicker overnight clouds or forecast revisions. Historical late-August baselines for Ankara support similar minima, and final resolution will hinge on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall near 13–15°C, driven by moderate radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, northerly winds of 5–9 mph, and dew points around 10–12°C at the city's 870 m elevation. These conditions limit extreme cooling compared to clear, calm nights while preventing warmer advection. Market clustering around 12–14°C reflects model consensus on this range, with the elevated 19°C-or-higher probability capturing residual uncertainty from potential thicker overnight clouds or forecast revisions. Historical late-August baselines for Ankara support similar minima, and final resolution will hinge on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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