Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 70s°F for Chicago on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This setup, following a warm August 29 with lows near 70°F, supports the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F bins as traders weigh the balance between typical late-summer moderation and the potential for slightly warmer readings if cloud cover thickens further. Historical climatology shows an average low near 64°F, but current atmospheric conditions favor elevated minima, with only low-probability scenarios for sub-68°F readings under clearer, drier air. Upcoming model updates from the National Weather Service will refine overnight wind and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 30. August?
72-73°F 54%
82°F oder höher 53%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 27%
63°F oder weniger
8%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68–69°F
25%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
8%
82°F oder höher
53%
72-73°F 54%
82°F oder höher 53%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 27%
63°F oder weniger
8%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68–69°F
25%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
8%
82°F oder höher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 70s°F for Chicago on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This setup, following a warm August 29 with lows near 70°F, supports the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F bins as traders weigh the balance between typical late-summer moderation and the potential for slightly warmer readings if cloud cover thickens further. Historical climatology shows an average low near 64°F, but current atmospheric conditions favor elevated minima, with only low-probability scenarios for sub-68°F readings under clearer, drier air. Upcoming model updates from the National Weather Service will refine overnight wind and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen