**Recent meteorological data and model consensus point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions in late summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows around 27°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms, while climatological averages place August minima near 25–26°C. No active cold fronts, significant northerly surges, or atypical atmospheric patterns are evident in current analyses that would support a sharp drop toward 20°C or below. The market-implied 45.5% probability on 20°C or lower therefore reflects trader positioning ahead of final model runs and any last-minute steering influences from regional pressure systems, rather than confirmed observational trends. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts likely to refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 24. August?
20°C oder darunter 92%
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
92%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C oder höher
2%
20°C oder darunter 92%
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
92%
21°C
$5 Vol.
34%
22°C
$5 Vol.
34%
23°C
$5 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$16 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological data and model consensus point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions in late summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows around 27°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms, while climatological averages place August minima near 25–26°C. No active cold fronts, significant northerly surges, or atypical atmospheric patterns are evident in current analyses that would support a sharp drop toward 20°C or below. The market-implied 45.5% probability on 20°C or lower therefore reflects trader positioning ahead of final model runs and any last-minute steering influences from regional pressure systems, rather than confirmed observational trends. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$41Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological data and model consensus point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions in late summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows around 27°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms, while climatological averages place August minima near 25–26°C. No active cold fronts, significant northerly surges, or atypical atmospheric patterns are evident in current analyses that would support a sharp drop toward 20°C or below. The market-implied 45.5% probability on 20°C or lower therefore reflects trader positioning ahead of final model runs and any last-minute steering influences from regional pressure systems, rather than confirmed observational trends. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent meteorological data and model consensus point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions in late summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows around 27°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms, while climatological averages place August minima near 25–26°C. No active cold fronts, significant northerly surges, or atypical atmospheric patterns are evident in current analyses that would support a sharp drop toward 20°C or below. The market-implied 45.5% probability on 20°C or lower therefore reflects trader positioning ahead of final model runs and any last-minute steering influences from regional pressure systems, rather than confirmed observational trends. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts likely to refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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