Traders assign nearly equal weight to a sharp cool-down bringing Jinan’s lowest temperature on September 18 to 12°C or below versus readings of 22°C or higher, reflecting split ensemble guidance on whether a northern cold-air outbreak arrives overnight. Mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18°C under weak high pressure, but recent model runs diverge on the strength and timing of northeasterly flow and associated boundary-layer cooling. Key variables include the exact position of an upper-level trough and surface wind speeds that modulate radiative cooling. Fresh Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts updates expected this evening should tighten the range ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 18. September?
12°C oder darunter 100%
22°C oder höher 96%
17°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C oder darunter
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
96%
12°C oder darunter 100%
22°C oder höher 96%
17°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C oder darunter
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to a sharp cool-down bringing Jinan’s lowest temperature on September 18 to 12°C or below versus readings of 22°C or higher, reflecting split ensemble guidance on whether a northern cold-air outbreak arrives overnight. Mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18°C under weak high pressure, but recent model runs diverge on the strength and timing of northeasterly flow and associated boundary-layer cooling. Key variables include the exact position of an upper-level trough and surface wind speeds that modulate radiative cooling. Fresh Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts updates expected this evening should tighten the range ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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