Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. Juni?
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 6.2%
15°C 4.5%
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 6.2%
15°C 4.5%
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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