Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 31. August?
32°C or higher 87%
22°C or below 75%
26°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
75%
23°C
19%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
87%
32°C or higher 87%
22°C or below 75%
26°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$130 Vol.
75%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$6 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$136Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$136Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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