**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.** Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. September?
24°C 49%
19°C oder darunter 38%
29°C oder höher 38%
22°C 30%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
38%
20°C
29%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
31%
24°C
40%
25°C
16%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C oder höher
38%
24°C 49%
19°C oder darunter 38%
29°C oder höher 38%
22°C 30%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
29%
21°C
$0 Vol.
29%
22°C
$0 Vol.
30%
23°C
$144 Vol.
31%
24°C
$180 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.**
Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$324Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.**
Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$324Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.** Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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