**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from numerical weather models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and typical mid-September subtropical conditions with high pressure and modest diurnal cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C further support limited radiative cooling after sunset. Official guidance indicates low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns that reduce variability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or a rapid model shift in the final hours, though current observational trends and ensemble agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. September?
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,260 Vol.
$14,260 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,260 Vol.
$14,260 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$256 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,531 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,836 Vol.
3%
24°C
$4,191 Vol.
98%
25°C
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from numerical weather models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and typical mid-September subtropical conditions with high pressure and modest diurnal cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C further support limited radiative cooling after sunset. Official guidance indicates low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns that reduce variability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or a rapid model shift in the final hours, though current observational trends and ensemble agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,260Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from numerical weather models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and typical mid-September subtropical conditions with high pressure and modest diurnal cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C further support limited radiative cooling after sunset. Official guidance indicates low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns that reduce variability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or a rapid model shift in the final hours, though current observational trends and ensemble agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,260Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecasts from numerical weather models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and typical mid-September subtropical conditions with high pressure and modest diurnal cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C further support limited radiative cooling after sunset. Official guidance indicates low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns that reduce variability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or a rapid model shift in the final hours, though current observational trends and ensemble agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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