Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 30 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow associated with a stationary front, suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 22°C, close to the long-term August average minimum of about 23°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions from repeated showers have reinforced expectations of limited diurnal range, though model spread and any late clearing could shift outcomes toward 21°C or 23°C. Updated JMA guidance ahead of resolution will provide the key data point for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 30. August?
22°C 56%
23°C 20%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
56%
23°C
20%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
11%
22°C 56%
23°C 20%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$130 Vol.
56%
23°C
$104 Vol.
20%
24°C
$5 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
8%
26°C
$5 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 30 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow associated with a stationary front, suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 22°C, close to the long-term August average minimum of about 23°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions from repeated showers have reinforced expectations of limited diurnal range, though model spread and any late clearing could shift outcomes toward 21°C or 23°C. Updated JMA guidance ahead of resolution will provide the key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$270Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 30 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow associated with a stationary front, suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 22°C, close to the long-term August average minimum of about 23°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions from repeated showers have reinforced expectations of limited diurnal range, though model spread and any late clearing could shift outcomes toward 21°C or 23°C. Updated JMA guidance ahead of resolution will provide the key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$270Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 30 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow associated with a stationary front, suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 22°C, close to the long-term August average minimum of about 23°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions from repeated showers have reinforced expectations of limited diurnal range, though model spread and any late clearing could shift outcomes toward 21°C or 23°C. Updated JMA guidance ahead of resolution will provide the key data point for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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