Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
$713 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$1,896 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$1,143 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$2,449 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$2,107 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$6,400 Vol.
Ja
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,454 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$1,055 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$350 Vol.
Nein
26°C oder höher
$300 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$21,454Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,454Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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