Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project clear skies and light northeast winds over Zhengzhou on September 3, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature near 19°C. This aligns with early September climatology in the North China Plain, where diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low humidity. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact dewpoint forecasts create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, while probabilities drop for extremes outside this range. Final resolution will depend on official overnight observations, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 3. September?
15°C oder darunter 87%
16°C 87%
17°C 87%
20°C 87%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
87%
16°C
87%
17°C
87%
18°C
53%
19°C
47%
20°C
87%
21°C
87%
22°C
87%
23°C
87%
24°C
87%
25°C oder höher
87%
15°C oder darunter 87%
16°C 87%
17°C 87%
20°C 87%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
87%
16°C
$0 Vol.
87%
17°C
$0 Vol.
87%
18°C
$0 Vol.
53%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
87%
21°C
$0 Vol.
87%
22°C
$0 Vol.
87%
23°C
$0 Vol.
87%
24°C
$0 Vol.
87%
25°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project clear skies and light northeast winds over Zhengzhou on September 3, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature near 19°C. This aligns with early September climatology in the North China Plain, where diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low humidity. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact dewpoint forecasts create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, while probabilities drop for extremes outside this range. Final resolution will depend on official overnight observations, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project clear skies and light northeast winds over Zhengzhou on September 3, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature near 19°C. This aligns with early September climatology in the North China Plain, where diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low humidity. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact dewpoint forecasts create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, while probabilities drop for extremes outside this range. Final resolution will depend on official overnight observations, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project clear skies and light northeast winds over Zhengzhou on September 3, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature near 19°C. This aligns with early September climatology in the North China Plain, where diurnal ranges often exceed 10°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low humidity. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact dewpoint forecasts create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, while probabilities drop for extremes outside this range. Final resolution will depend on official overnight observations, with any shift in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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