Current National Hurricane Center outlooks indicate no tropical cyclone formation is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, with only weak tropical waves in dry environments and no organized disturbances present as of mid-May 2026. This aligns with climatological patterns where the average first named storm develops around June 20, well after the official June 1 start. Recent preseason forecasts from Colorado State University and others project near- or below-average overall activity due to emerging El Niño influences, further reducing pre-season odds. With just two weeks remaining before June 1 and no imminent intensification signals in sea surface temperatures or steering patterns, trader consensus favors no named storm forming beforehand.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBenannte Sturmformen vor der Hurrikan-Saison?
Benannte Sturmformen vor der Hurrikan-Saison?
Ja
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Ja
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current National Hurricane Center outlooks indicate no tropical cyclone formation is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, with only weak tropical waves in dry environments and no organized disturbances present as of mid-May 2026. This aligns with climatological patterns where the average first named storm develops around June 20, well after the official June 1 start. Recent preseason forecasts from Colorado State University and others project near- or below-average overall activity due to emerging El Niño influences, further reducing pre-season odds. With just two weeks remaining before June 1 and no imminent intensification signals in sea surface temperatures or steering patterns, trader consensus favors no named storm forming beforehand.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Volumen
$341,219Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current National Hurricane Center outlooks indicate no tropical cyclone formation is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, with only weak tropical waves in dry environments and no organized disturbances present as of mid-May 2026. This aligns with climatological patterns where the average first named storm develops around June 20, well after the official June 1 start. Recent preseason forecasts from Colorado State University and others project near- or below-average overall activity due to emerging El Niño influences, further reducing pre-season odds. With just two weeks remaining before June 1 and no imminent intensification signals in sea surface temperatures or steering patterns, trader consensus favors no named storm forming beforehand.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Volumen
$341,219Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Hurricane Center outlooks indicate no tropical cyclone formation is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, with only weak tropical waves in dry environments and no organized disturbances present as of mid-May 2026. This aligns with climatological patterns where the average first named storm develops around June 20, well after the official June 1 start. Recent preseason forecasts from Colorado State University and others project near- or below-average overall activity due to emerging El Niño influences, further reducing pre-season odds. With just two weeks remaining before June 1 and no imminent intensification signals in sea surface temperatures or steering patterns, trader consensus favors no named storm forming beforehand.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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